The Zombie Rises: The Return of Simpson-Bowles
Robert L. Borosage.
President, Institute for America's Future
Take a good look at Europe -- bloody riots in Athens and Madrid, rising unemployment, spreading poverty and suicide, and a deepening recession -- because
the current American elite consensus bizarrely wants to drive America down that same path.
Europe's miseries come from
imposing austerity before recovering from the recession caused by the financial collapse. Conservatives in Germany and England inflicted harsh measures to enforce budget discipline -- hiking taxes and cutting spending.
In the U.S., the Obama recovery plan and the deal with Republicans over extending the Bush tax cuts
combined to limit and slow the imposition of austerity. The result: Europe is sinking, while the U.S. economy retains slow but halting growth.
But now
the deficit hawks are gearing up for another run at driving the U.S. back into economic recession.
The Coming Train Wreck
At the end of the year, we face a train wreck. After the November election
the Bush tax cuts, the payroll tax cut and extended unemployment benefits will expire.
The automatic cut -- "sequester," in budget speak -- of nearly 10 percent of military and domestic discretionary spending (everything except guaranteed programs like Medicare and Social Security and interest on the national debt) kicks in. We even hit the debt limit to add to the high stakes.
If all this is allowed to occur,
it will subtract over 3 percent of GDP from an economy growing at 2.5 percent or less. A drop back into recession would be almost inevitable. So a deal is needed.
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In this country, the necessary remedies are clear.
With interest rates near zero, a decrepit infrastructure that must be rebuilt and a construction industry flat on its back, anyone with a whit of business sense would finance a massive Rebuild America program over the next few years. This would put people back to work and build the foundation for a more competitive economy. We will never have a better opportunity to make the investments that we will have to make anyway.
We should send money to states to rehire teachers, make universities affordable, and strengthen, not weaken, our public schools. It's simply nuts to make kids pay the price of Wall Street's follies.
And if we could get beyond ideological perversities, we'd set up a green corps, an urban corps and a jobs corps to guarantee a job for every veteran and young person under 25. No one should risk their life for the country and return to an economy with no place for them. Young people are coming out of school into the worst economy since the Great Depression. Condemning them to idleness is a recipe for depression, drugs, crime and misery. And we will all pay dearly for a lost generation.
Certainly, we have to be serious about getting our books in order. The wealthy and the corporations should pay more so we can afford the investments we need. But the overwhelming source of our long-term budget woes comes from projections of soaring health care costs. If we paid for health care at the rate other industrial countries do (with better results), we would be projecting surpluses, not deficits. But
right now, the focus should be on putting people back to work and getting the economy moving. Until that happens, austerity -- as Europe is now experiencing -- is a contagion, not a cure.
Read more here:
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/robert-l-borosage/the-zombie-rises-the-retu_1_b_1436917.html