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 Tropical Deja Vu in the Caribbean, Western Gulf? 
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 Tropical Deja Vu in the Caribbean, Western Gulf?
By Alex Sosnowski, Expert Senior Meteorologist
Jul 5, 2010; 7:40 AM ETShare |

Could this be tropical deja vu? There is a possibility of another tropical event in areas recently hit by Alex in the Caribbean and the western Gulf of Mexico.

Over the holiday weekend, a large area of showers and thunderstorms was becoming better organized and seems to be the new prime contender for the next Atlantic tropical depression.

The next named storm on the list in the Atlantic 2010 season is Bonnie.

As of Monday morning, showers and thunderstorms were grouping in a somewhat circular motion over the west-central Caribbean.

The area is around the same spot where Alex first formed about a week ago in pretty much the same manner.

Interestingly, steering currents could guide this system along on a similar path to that of Alex, depending on how it navigates the Yucatan Peninsula.

The problem for now is the center is not as defined as Alex's.

A shift northward around the land mass would put the system into the central Gulf of Mexico. A push westward through the peninsula would put it in the Bay of Campeche and, hence, perhaps Alex all over again.

People on the Yucatan Peninsula, Belize and neighboring countries in Central America can expect, at the very least, an increase in showers and thunderstorms through the middle of the week as the system drifts to the west-northwest.

As a result, many of the same areas that were hit nearly a week ago may be hit again with a round or multiple rounds of heavy rain and potential flooding. :candle

Computer models have opened up Monday morning bringing the system ashore anywhere from the upper Texas coast to the upper Gulf coast of Mexico late in the week. :nono :noway

Keep checking in at AccuWeather.com for the latest on this situation and other areas of concern in the Gulf of Mexico and the Atlantic.

The northern Gulf of Mexico may remain unsettled and one of several trouble spots through the week as tropical moisture continues to feed in from the south and east. :gah

http://www.accuweather.com/blogs/news/story/33557/tropical-deja-vu-in-the-caribb.asp

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Mon Jul 05, 2010 8:10 am
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Post Re: Tropical Deja Vu in the Caribbean, Western Gulf?
More rain coming as Rio Grande laps at bridges
By LYNN BREZOSKY SAN ANTONIO EXPRESS-NEWS

BROWNSVILLE — Tropical storm warnings for the Gulf Coast were called off today but severe flooding remained likely as a loose mass of wind and rain started moving into already soaked areas of South Texas and Northern Mexico.

National Weather Service forecaster Jim Campbell said the system's landfall meant it never had time to strengthen to what would be the Atlantic hurricane season's second named storm.

"There won't be a Bonnie today," Campbell said.

The forecast offered little comfort to residents along the overflowing Rio Grande from Laredo to Brownsville. The river was at some of its highest levels in decades thanks to last week's Hurricane Alex.

In Laredo, water didn't have far to rise before it began lapping at the undersides of international bridges, two of which were ordered closed Wednesday. As of 11 a.m. today, the water depth was in a "major" flood stage of 38 feet - and still had not reached expected crests.

Texas National Guard members and rescue swimmers were on hand to assist, but city spokeswoman Xochitl Mora said reverse 911 calls and advisories for low-lying areas so far had kept people safe. Just one neighborhood on the city's southwest side had been ordered to evacuate, perhaps because there had been no new rains in the region since Tuesday, she said.

"We do expect today to be a bit of a longer day in the sense that we see the rain coming in from the Gulf," Mora said. "It's already expected to bring some heavy rain."

Hydrologists predicted four to eight inches of rain, with 10 inches possible in some areas, prompting flash flood watches through Friday night for all of deep South Texas. :shock:

Downriver from Laredo, the International Boundary and Water Commission continued releasing Falcon Lake water into the creeks and floodways of the Rio Grande Valley.

Commission spokeswoman Sally Spener said the last time Falcon Dam spilled floodwaters was in 1992. The reservoir there was still receiving overspill from the Amistad Dam upriver, which has been dumping water at the rate of 35,000 cubic feet per second since Tuesday, the dam's largest release since 1974.

Hidalgo County spokeswoman Cari Lambrecht said no decision had been made yet to open a countywide emergency operation center, but staff were on guard for a worst case scenario involving the river.

"Our emergency personnel haven't stopped since Alex," she said. :clap

http://www.chron.com/disp/story.mpl/metropolitan/7099223.html

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Thu Jul 08, 2010 11:01 am
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