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 Tropical Storm Arlene 
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Post Tropical Storm Arlene
PJ - get ready for local media to hype this for all it is worth.
I suggest you read Accuweather

Storm2K http://tinyurl.com/3scrdom

and

The Tropical Prediction Centerhttp://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

The local yokels WILL hype this for all it is worth!

Keep safe!


By Alex Sosnowski, Expert Senior Meteorologist
Jun 27, 2011; 11:15 AM

AccuWeather.com meteorologists continue to watch the Bay of Campeche for development, as it appears concerns for a tropical system may come to pass at midweek.

There is a chance of heavy rain and locally gusty winds affecting northeastern Mexico and part of South Texas.

The combination of an old, stalled frontal boundary, a broad area of low pressure and interaction of a tropical wave should be enough to get things spinning just a bit in the southwest Gulf of Mexico during the middle of the week.

This region, known as the Bay of Campeche, is a favored spots for development, due to the curvature of the coastline that tends to help give the lower atmosphere a little extra spin.

According to Tropical Weather and Hurricane Expert Dan Kottlowski, "The broad area of low pressure will have some chance for slow development later on Tuesday through Wednesday."

An area of high pressure along the northern Gulf Coast is much weaker, compared to much of the spring. However, further weakening or not will determine how far north this area of disturbed weather is able to move late in the week.

The general feeling in the office is that this feature will tend to drift more west, rather than north, so that much of the effects (rain and gusty thunderstorms) will roll into Mexico. While a drought has hit this area hard, enough rain could fall to cause flash flooding, mudslides and washouts.

snip

Overall, a broad flow of tropical moisture will be present most days through at least the middle of July, bringing a mosaic of needed downpours. However, it is possible that in some cases the pattern could lead to quick, near-shore development of a tropical system with little notice.

All it will take is for the wind shear to drop off for a couple of days in the neighborhood of where one of these systems wanders through.

http://www.accuweather.com/blogs/news/story/51634/watching-the-bay-of-campeche-f.asp

_________________
The test of our progress is not whether we add more to the abundance of those who have much; it is whether we provide enough for those who have too little. - FDR


Last edited by Bluebonnet on Wed Jun 29, 2011 6:18 am, edited 1 time in total.

Updated title to reflect TS formation. BB



Mon Jun 27, 2011 2:43 pm
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Location: Friendswood, TX
Post Re: Tropical Storm Arlene
Dang! We could use this good soaking rain, too.

Hurricane season first: Tropical Storm Arlene forms

Eastern coast of Mexico expected to be hit Thursday, hurricane center says

MIAMI — The first named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season formed Tuesday in the southern Gulf of Mexico, in Bay of Campeche, the National Hurricane Center said.

Tropical Storm Arlene was not expected to be a major threat to the U.S. coast.

The government of Mexico on Tuesday issued tropical storm warnings for the northeastern coast from Barra De Nautla north to Bahia Algodones. No watches or warnings for the United States were in effect.

The center said Arlene would make landfall in Mexico early Thursday morning and was not forecast to strengthen into a hurricane.

At 8 p.m. ET, the National Hurricane Center said Arlene was about 280 miles east-southeast of Tampico, Mexico with maximum sustained winds of 40 mph and a central pressure of 1003 millibars.

The main threat to Mexico is heavy rains that could cause flash floods and mudslides. Forecasters say extreme south Texas also could get some rain from the system.

Read more here: http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/43570762/ns/weather/

_________________
The test of our progress is not whether we add more to the abundance of those who have much; it is whether we provide enough for those who have too little. - FDR


Wed Jun 29, 2011 6:23 am
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