CDC: Up to 80 Million Americans Infected With H1N1

http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,583 ... latestnews

WASHINGTON — As many as 80 million Americans have been infected with H1N1 swine flu, with as many as 16,000 deaths and more than 360,000 hospitalizations, the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention said Friday.

And only about 62 million Americans have been vaccinated, even though more than 130 million doses of vaccine were made available and 160 million were told they were at high priority for getting the vaccine.

"CDC estimates that between 39 million and 80 million cases of 2009 H1N1 occurred between April and December 12, 2009. The mid-level in this range is about 55 million people infected with 2009 H1N1," the CDC said in a statement.

The WHO numbers are confirmed, laboratory cases of H1N1; while the CDC number is an educated estimate for the U.S and is acknowledged to be very low.

To expand on the above article, if you take the CDC's guesstimate of 80 million cases, you have a CFR of .02%. If you use the middle/averaged figure of 55million infected, it means a CFR of .029%.

The average CFR for seasonal flu is .1%
http://scienceblogs.com/effectmeasure/2 ... ndemic.php

Maybe check this out: Insert big red unprecedented ILI spike public never saw from Figure 1:
http://ma-publichealth.typepad.com/file ... _12_09.pdf ]

So if we use 55 million -80 million people getting this virus.
That's 18%-28%- got sick, or 245,000 Hospitalized, or 16,000 Deaths

Each year in the United States on average,
5% to 20% of the population gets the Seaonal flu; or 15 million to 60 million
on average, more than 200,000 hospitalized from flu-related complications, and;
about 36,000 Deaths from flu-related causes.

All facts from CDC site

* NOTE: CFR and RO numbers are going to change, and they are not normally calculated until after the incident is over, which this one may not be.